← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/21/2024
Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/21/2024
decks
3
(8.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-3-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
48.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1334
· median 1327
· range 1301–1373
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1210
Q3 1404
1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 24.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 8.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 8.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tonoris | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Water Neos | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
